2008 Redux?»
April 13, 2023 –
Volatility returned to financial markets last month in the wake of the second and third largest bank failures in US history (Silicon Valley Bank [SIVB], and Signature Bank [SBNY]), followed…
Now There is an Alternative»
January 18, 2023 –
2022 marked the end of a 14 year old monetary policy experiment, during which the Federal Reserve (and other major central banks) generally held short term interest rates close to…
Risk Reprices as the Fed Tightens Policy»
October 7, 2022 –
After a sharp two month rally ended in August, the US stock market resumed its downward trajectory, and now, down 23.9% for the year, is firmly ensconced in bear market…
The Fed’s Dilemma: Inflation or Recession?»
July 12, 2022 –
The most recent CPI showed headline inflation 9.1% higher than a year ago, while “core” inflation (excluding volatile food and energy prices) rose 5.9%. This sustained surge in price levels occurred while the US economy shrank at an annualized rate of 1.6% in the first quarter of 2022.
The Fed Transitions as Inflation Does Not»
April 12, 2022 –
As we enter the third year of a world dominated by the evolving COVID-19 pandemic, it’s worth reflecting on what lessons, if any, we have learned from the experience, and whether any such lessons might be applied to the management of our investment portfolios.
Pandemic Reflections»
January 25, 2022 –
As we enter the third year of a world dominated by the evolving COVID-19 pandemic, it’s worth reflecting on what lessons, if any, we have learned from the experience, and whether any such lessons might be applied to the management of our investment portfolios.